Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's recent meeting with junta leader Min Aung Hlaing, the first since the 2021 coup, signaled Beijing's recognition of the military government. However, this move has not eased tensions, with the junta expressing anger over alleged Chinese weapon supplies to rebel groups.
China's interests in Myanmar, including border security and economic investments like a vital oil pipeline, are threatened by the ongoing conflict. The situation has worsened since June, with rebels seizing control of about 30,000 square kilometers along the pipeline route.
Experts suggest that China's dual approach of supporting the junta while engaging with rebels has left it distrusted by both parties. As the conflict intensifies, China risks losing its influence and investments in the region, highlighting the complexities of its involvement in Myanmar's internal strife.