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Hampyeong County Enhances Water Safety Guidelines for Summer Activities Hampyeong County in South Jeolla Province is ramping up safety measures as the summer vacation season begins, anticipating an increase in water activity participants.On July 30, the county announced that it is focusing on promoting basic safety rules, including the mandatory wearing of life jackets and the importance of warm-up exercises, to prevent water-related accidents during the peak summer vacation period.According to the county, many summer water accidents occur due to a failure to follow safety guidelines or overestimating one's swimming abilities, making adherence to basic preventive measures crucial.As part of these efforts, the county urges individuals to perform adequate warm-up exercises before swimming and to wear safety equipment such as life jackets. It also emphasizes that individuals should avoid entering deep or restricted areas and that children must always swim with a guardian.Additionally, the county advises against swimming after consuming alcohol and stresses the need for quick action in case of an accident, including calling for help and notifying emergency services.To prevent summer accidents, Hampyeong County conducts weekly safety inspections at major swimming locations. The county is actively removing potential hazards and continuously monitoring facility conditions while promoting safety guidelines through banners, electronic displays, the county's website, and social media.Given the expected surge in water activity participants during the vacation season, the county plans to continue its efforts to raise safety awareness and prevent accidents.Lee Nam-o, the mayor of Hampyeong County, stated, "Water-related accidents can be effectively prevented by simply following basic safety rules. I hope everyone practices safety measures such as wearing life jackets and swimming with guardians to ensure a safe and enjoyable summer for all."Meanwhile, the Ministry of the Interior and Safety continues to emphasize adherence to basic safety rules, including wearing life jackets, prohibiting swimming after drinking, and ensuring children are accompanied by guardians, while local governments are strengthening safety inspections and preventive promotions in water activity management areas.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:08:00 -
National Assembly Passes Special Prosecutor Law Amid Election Controversy On July 30, the National Assembly passed the Special Prosecutor Law aimed at investigating the shortage of ballots during the June 3 local elections. The deadline for the National Assembly's special investigation committee was also extended. A recount is set to take place on August 18.During the afternoon session, the National Assembly voted on the "Law on the Appointment of a Special Prosecutor to Investigate Allegations of Voter Rights Violations During the 9th Nationwide Simultaneous Local Elections," with 226 votes in favor and 2 against out of 228 members present.The special prosecutor will have 20 days from the date of appointment to prepare for the investigation and must complete the investigation within 90 days after the preparation period ends, deciding whether to file charges. If necessary, the investigation period can be extended twice, each time for 30 days.Previously, the method for recommending the special prosecutor was agreed upon by the Democratic Party and the People Power Party on July 21. Each party will recommend three candidates to form a public recommendation committee, which will then receive recommendations for six special prosecutor candidates from the Korean Bar Association and the Council of Law Schools. The two candidates selected by bipartisan agreement will be submitted to the president for appointment.The investigation will focus on the ballot shortage during the June 3 local elections, as well as allegations of overseas trips by current and former election commission staff, preferential promotions for their children, irregular hiring practices, and issues related to the management, security, and operation of the election commission's election management system.Additionally, the National Assembly approved the extension of the National Assembly Special Committee's activities to investigate the voter rights violations and election management reforms, with unanimous support from 225 members present. The committee's deadline, set to expire on July 31, will be extended by 30 days to accommodate the recount of 2.47 million ballots at the Jamsil counting center.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:04:10 -
Former KFA President Chung Mong-kyu and Coach Hong Myung-bo Deny Allegations at National Assembly Hearing Chung Mong-kyu, former president of the Korea Football Association (KFA), and Hong Myung-bo, former head coach of the South Korean national football team, faced intense criticism following their team's exit from the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. They appeared at a National Assembly hearing on July 30, where they acknowledged the disappointing performance but denied allegations of opaque administrative practices and favoritism regarding the appointment of the head coach.The National Assembly's Culture, Sports and Tourism Committee convened the hearing to examine the KFA's operations, including the process of selecting the national team coach. Alongside Chung and Hong, witnesses included KFA vice presidents Lee Yong-soo and Kim Byung-ji, executive director Kim Seung-hee, and national team coach Kim Jin-kyu.During their opening statements, both Chung and Hong expressed regret over the team's World Cup results. Chung stated, "I feel deeply sorry for the series of controversies and the unsatisfactory outcome of the World Cup. As the KFA president, I take full responsibility and apologize for not meeting the expectations of the public and football fans."Hong echoed this sentiment, saying, "I want to first apologize to the public for not meeting their expectations during the World Cup. I take the responsibility seriously for not delivering on the hopes placed in the national team."A key focus of the hearing was the controversy surrounding Hong's appointment as head coach, which emerged in July 2024. At that time, the KFA had entrusted the appointment authority to Lee Im-sang, the former technical director, despite the Performance Enhancement Committee being ineffective. Lee conducted a late-night interview near Hong's home without any observers or a formal questionnaire, raising concerns about procedural legitimacy.Lawmakers scrutinized the opaque decision-making process that led to the final selection of the head coach, questioning the KFA's governance. When Representative Bae Hyun-jin of the ruling People Power Party pointed out procedural issues, Hong dismissed the allegations of favoritism. He responded, "When I received the offer, I believed the process was normal. I understand that meeting near my home might seem opaque to the public, but I never requested any special treatment or benefits."Chung also defended the legitimacy of the appointment process, stating, "I am not rejecting the results of the special audit by the Ministry of Culture, Sports and Tourism, but there are aspects that differ from the facts among various opinions. All coaches, including Hong, Jurgen Klinsmann, and Paulo Bento, were appointed through the same process."When Representative Lim Ok-kyung of the Democratic Party asked if the hearing would have taken place had the team advanced to the Round of 16, Chung replied, "I believe this hearing would not have occurred if we had reached the Round of 16."Additionally, Hong addressed allegations regarding his high salary. In response to a claim by Democratic Party Representative Jeong Joon-ho that he earned 3.8 billion won, Hong clarified, "Due to various legal clauses in the contract, I cannot disclose the exact amount, but it is definitely not 3.8 billion won. The amount was mutually agreed upon, and I never asked for more. I accepted the proposed amount as is."Meanwhile, Son Heung-min, who was excluded from the squad for the World Cup match against South Africa, made headlines by scoring multiple goals and being named the Most Valuable Player (MVP) at the Major League Soccer (MLS) All-Star Game held in North Carolina, USA, on the same day. 2026-07-30 16:04:10 -
Government Supports Scope 3 Emissions Calculation for Bio and Health Sector The South Korean government is set to assist bio and health companies in calculating their greenhouse gas emissions as the mandatory sustainability disclosure for KOSPI-listed companies with total assets exceeding 10 trillion won begins in 2028. The government plans to establish Scope 3 calculation standards that reflect the industry's characteristics, covering everything from raw material procurement to clinical trials, production, distribution, and disposal.On July 30, the Ministry of Climate Energy and Environment announced it will hold a 'Sustainability Disclosure Response Meeting for the Bio and Health Sector' at the Korea Press Center in Jung-gu, Seoul.Major companies in the bio and health sector, including Samsung Biologics, Samsung Bioepis, HK inno.N, GC Green Cross, and Hanmi Pharmaceutical, will attend the meeting. Relevant organizations such as the Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute, the Korea Accounting Standards Board, the Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and the Korea Pharmaceutical and Bio Association will also participate.The government and industry representatives will review the companies' responses to domestic and international sustainability disclosures and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulations, and discuss specialized Scope 3 calculation systems and support measures for the bio and health sector.Scope 3 refers to indirect emissions that occur throughout the value chain, including raw material procurement, transportation, product use, and disposal, as opposed to Scope 1 emissions from facilities owned or controlled by the company and Scope 2 emissions from the use of purchased electricity and heat.Collecting data from suppliers and partners outside the company's control is often cited as one of the biggest challenges in the sustainability disclosure process. The bio and health industry, in particular, faces difficulties due to its lengthy value chain, which includes drug research and development, raw material procurement, clinical trials, production, storage, transportation, distribution, and disposal, making it hard to apply uniform standards.Last month, the Ministry of Climate Energy and Environment signed a memorandum of understanding with major companies in the bio and health sector to begin developing a specialized Scope 3 calculation guide. The plan is to analyze each company's business type, value chain, and major emission sources, incorporating real-world calculation examples to enhance practical usability.On the same day, the Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute will share the results of its Scope 3 calculation support project conducted for five sectors, including secondary batteries, semiconductors and displays, petrochemicals, and steel. The Korea Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering Association will also present the status and challenges of its ongoing Scope 3 calculation efforts in the shipbuilding sector, which began in March.Lee Ho-hyun, the second vice minister of the Climate Ministry, stated, "As sustainability disclosures and supply chain regulations expand, accurate and reliable ESG information is becoming a key factor in determining corporate competitiveness. We will work closely with the industry and relevant organizations to establish a Scope 3 calculation system that companies can practically utilize and enhance their disclosure response capabilities."* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:04:00 -
Hyundai Card Adjusts Convenience Store Benefits Amid Cost Management Hyundai Card is scaling back benefits offered at convenience stores. As the need for profitability management grows due to reduced merchant fees and increased procurement costs, the company is adjusting its strategy by modifying existing partnerships while expanding into new consumer areas.According to the card industry on July 30, Hyundai Card will reduce the M-point usage rate from 20% to 10% for major convenience stores in South Korea, including GS25, CU, 7-Eleven, and Emart24, starting August 10. This marks the first adjustment to benefits since the partnership with the convenience store sector began nearly a decade ago in 2014.The adjustment of M-point benefits is seen as part of a strategy to balance cost management with expanded marketing efforts. A Hyundai Card representative explained that the changes in convenience store benefits aim to enhance customers' M-point usage experience by flexibly expanding usage locations and adjusting rates.Hyundai Card has been aggressive in marketing, pioneering the private label credit card (PLCC) market and being the only domestic card issuer to introduce Apple Pay. As a result, it has spent the most on advertising in the card industry from the third quarter of 2019 to the third quarter of last year.Recently, the company launched the 'Alphabet Card,' broadening benefits across lifestyle areas such as beauty, easy payments, subscriptions, dining, and travel, intensifying competition with top card issuers. As of the end of the first half of this year, Hyundai Card ranked third in personal credit sales, following Shinhan Card and Samsung Card.Card points, interest-free installments, and billing discounts are key marketing tools for attracting customers, but they also represent significant marketing costs for card issuers. Industry insiders believe that in light of the profitability pressures facing the card industry due to reduced merchant fees and rising procurement costs, it is inevitable to adjust benefits for existing partners while expanding new usage locations.Convenience stores are a major sector with high consumer usage frequency. According to the National Data Agency, convenience store sales reached 2.88 trillion won in May, a 5.6% increase compared to the same month last year, surpassing the sales of large supermarkets (2.80 trillion won). Given that card payments are frequently made in this sector, the impact of the benefit adjustments on consumers is expected to be significant.An industry source noted, "Since points and rewards are reflected as costs for card issuers, they likely considered profitability. With the recent expansion of various consumer channels, it seems there is also a strategy to diversify benefits that were previously concentrated in certain sectors across multiple usage locations." 2026-07-30 16:04:00 -
Pharmaceutical Companies on Edge as Drug Price Cuts Loom 내달부터 본격 시행될 예정인 정부의 약가 인하 정책에 국내 제약업계의 긴장감이 극도로 높아지고 있다. 업계에선 혁신형·준혁신형 제약기업 인증이 사실상 약가 방어막으로 여겨지면서 인증 확보와 연구개발(R&D) 확대에 사활을 걸고 있다. 다만 혁신형·준혁신형 신규 인증 제약사를 고려하지 않고 당장 8월부터 우대 방안이 시행된다는 점에서 업계 우려 목소리가 높다. 30일 업계에 따르면 보건복지부가 확정한 약가제도 개편의 핵심은 제네릭 약가 산정률을 오리지널 의약품 대비 53.55%에서 45% 수준으로 단계적으로 낮추는 데 있다. 단순히 복제약 가격을 낮추는 조정이 아니라 제네릭 다품목 경쟁 중심의 시장 질서를 R&D과 품질, 공급 안정 역량 중심으로 바꾸겠다는 신호로 해석된다. 현재 시장에서 가장 주목하는 것은 어느 기업이 약가 우대 혜택을 받느냐에 있다. 정부는 R&D 비중이 높은 혁신형 제약기업과 준혁신형 제약기업, 원료 직접생산 기업, 수급안정 선도기업 등에 약가 우대 장치를 두기로 하면서 결국 해당 인증이 가장 현실적인 방어 수단으로 꼽히기 때문이다. A 제약사 관계자는 "이제 영업력으로만 버티기 어려울 것"이라며 "(혁신형·준혁신형 기업) 신규 인증 여부가 향후 기업의 수익 구조를 좌우할 정도로 영향력이 커졌다"고 말했다. 다만 제도 시행 시점과 인증 결과 발표 시점이 엇갈린다는 점에서 우려가 이어지고 있다. 당장 약가 개편을 코앞에 뒀지만 혁신형 제약기업 신규·재인증 결과는 12월에 나오기 때문이다. 새로 인증을 준비하는 기업들은 실제로 R&D 투자를 늘려도 일정 기간 약가 인하를 그대로 감수해야 하는 행정 공백에 놓이게 된다. 업계에서 현장 혼선을 최소화할 수 있는 시행 시점 조율이 필요하다고 목소리를 높이는 이유다. 아울러 제약사들은 약가 우대 기준도 더 넓혀 달라고 요구하고 있다. 원료를 직접 생산하는 기업 범위에 자회사를 포함해 달라거나 수급안정 선도기업 인정 요건을 완화해 달라는 목소리가 대표적이다. 원료의약품 생산이나 필수의약품 공급은 단기간에 성과를 내기 어려운 만큼 현재 기준으로는 실제 현장에서 기여하는 기업이 충분히 보상받지 못할 수 있다는 주장도 나온다. 하지만 정부는 제도 원칙을 흔들 수 없다는 입장을 유지하고 있다. 기존 혁신형 제약기업이 이미 존재하는 상황에서 12월 새로 인증받을 기업들을 위해 약가 개편 시기를 늦추거나 가산 혜택을 소급 적용하는 것은 형평성과 제도 일관성에 맞지 않는다는 것이다. 이에 일부 기업들은 선제 대응에 나섰다. 일동제약과 휴온스그룹 등은 자회사 합병, 투자 구조 조정, R&D 확대 등을 통해 혁신형 인증 요건을 맞추려는 움직임을 보이고 있다. 아울러 R&D 비중을 끌어올리고 수익성이 낮은 일반 제네릭 품목을 정리하는 방식으로 체질 개선에 속도를 내는 기업들의 행보도 주목된다. 정윤택 제약산업전략연구원장은 "기존 혁신형 제약기업은 이미 방어막이 있지만 신규 인증을 받아야 하는 기업들은 당장 약가 인하 충격을 피하기 어려워 보인다"며 "특히 준혁신형 제도가 새롭게 개설된 만큼 어떤 기업이 실제로 혜택을 받을지 불확실성이 크고 이는 곧 경영 리스크로 이어질 수 있다"고 봤다. 이어 "결국 기업들은 정부의 방침에 맞춰 R&D와 사업 포트폴리오를 어떻게 바꿀지 각 사가 구체적인 쇄신책을 마련해야 할 것"이라고 덧붙였다. 한편, 정부는 이날 '혁신형 제약기업 인증제'를 도입 14년 만에 전면 개편키로 했다. 주요 내용으로 '의약품 매출액 대비 의약품 연구개발비 비율' 기준을 2%p(포인트)씩 상향 조정했다. 기업의 단기적 부담 완화를 위해 시행일로부터 3년간 적용을 유예하는 부칙을 뒀다. 리베이트 결격사유 기준은 심사 시점을 '행정처분일'에서 '위반행위 종료일'로 변경했다.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:00:10 -
Jared Leto Denies Sexual Assault Allegations Following BBC Documentary Actor and Thirty Seconds to Mars frontman Jared Leto, 54, is facing allegations of sexual misconduct and grooming involving minors. The BBC reported on testimonies from 10 women regarding these claims, but Leto has categorically denied all allegations, stating, "I have never sexually assaulted anyone in my life."On July 29, the BBC released a documentary titled 'Jared Leto: Hollywood's Dark Secret.' The film includes testimonies from 10 women who claim to have met Leto, with four alleging that his actions constituted criminal sexual offenses.According to the testimonies, one woman claimed she was raped by Leto in a motel in Nevada when she was 17 in 2002. Another woman stated that in 2013, while she was 19 in a hotel room in London, Leto repeatedly made comments suggesting sexual assault.A third woman alleged that in 2006, when she was 17 and Leto was 34, they had sexual relations at his home in California. She noted that the age of consent in California is 18, but Leto reportedly dismissed her concerns. The BBC explained that if true, this could be classified as statutory rape under California law.The fourth woman, who was 16 in 2014 and aspiring to be a model, claimed she received repeated sexual calls from Leto after meeting him. She said he proposed sexual relations and later asked her to sign a non-disclosure agreement (NDA), which she refused. The BBC confirmed it had reviewed related NDAs, text messages, and emails.Additionally, another woman alleged that when she was 14, Leto made sexual comments about her body at a music festival and instructed his security to take her backstage. Two former staff members who worked with the band for an extended period anonymously testified in the documentary that they were directed to bring young female fans or models to Leto's dressing room or workspace after performances.The BBC stated that some of the women's testimonies were corroborated by statements from family and friends who heard the accounts at the time, and in some cases, evidence such as photos and messages was obtained. However, the BBC reported that it did not receive a response from Leto's team despite multiple requests for comment before the story was published.Following the report, Leto issued an official statement through People magazine, asserting, "I have never sexually assaulted anyone in my life," and called the allegations "absolute and unequivocal lies." He also sent a similar statement to the BBC, denying all claims.This is not the first time Leto has faced controversy. The BBC noted that last year, the American media outlet Airmail reported similar allegations involving Leto and nine women, to which Leto's team also denied all claims.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:00:10 -
K-Bank Reports 600 Billion Won in First Half Profit, Down 28% Year-on-Year K-Bank reported disappointing results for the first half of the year. Despite an increase in personal business loans and interest income, a decline in non-interest income due to reduced bond sale profits hindered performance.On July 30, K-Bank announced a net profit of 600 billion won for the first half of the year, a 28.6% decrease from 842 billion won during the same period last year. In the second quarter alone, profits plummeted 60.7% to 268 billion won.The primary reason for the decline was the reduction in non-interest income. For the first half, non-interest income totaled 233 billion won, down 68% from 733 billion won in the same period last year. K-Bank attributed this drop to the decreased profits from bond sales.Additionally, the cost burden from expanded lending increased. The provision for credit losses for the first half rose to 513 billion won, a 24.2% increase from 413 billion won the previous year. Although the credit loss ratio improved to 1.08% from 1.13% in the second quarter of last year, the overall increase in lending volume led to higher costs.In contrast, the core operating segment, interest income, showed improvement. K-Bank's interest income for the first half reached 2.53 trillion won, a nearly 20% increase from 2.11 trillion won in the same period last year. The net interest margin (NIM) also rose to 1.59%, up 0.21 percentage points from 1.38% in the first half of last year.As of the end of the second quarter, the outstanding loan balance increased by 13.8% year-on-year to 19.8 trillion won. Despite ongoing management of household loans, the growth in personal business loans drove this increase, with the balance of personal business loans more than doubling to 3.3 trillion won over the past year.Key financial indicators remained stable. The delinquency rate at the end of the second quarter was 0.60%, similar to 0.59% in the same period last year, while the ratio of non-performing loans was managed at 0.59%. Notably, the delinquency rate for personal business loans decreased to 0.51%, down from 0.93% a year earlier. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) ratio also maintained a high level of capital adequacy at 20.02%.K-Bank plans to strengthen its growth drivers in the second half by focusing on expanding personal business loans and enhancing capabilities in digital asset-related businesses. The bank aims to broaden the types of properties and purposes for real estate-backed loans for business owners and is laying the groundwork for a non-face-to-face loan service for small and medium-sized enterprises, targeting a launch next year.A K-Bank official stated, "We have strengthened our revenue base by expanding our customer base and achieving qualitative and quantitative growth in personal business loans. In the future, we will secure a leading position in the expanding personal business market and in future financial areas such as digital assets and stablecoins to solidify our foundation for sustainable growth."* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:00:00 -
Kangjin County Distributes Water and Fans to Protect Residents from Heatwave Kangjin County has initiated a program to distribute bottled water and fans to residents and tourists to prevent heat-related illnesses during the ongoing heatwave. The Kangjin County Volunteer Group announced that from July 29 to August 24, they will conduct water distribution and heat prevention awareness activities at the Kangjin Passenger Terminal and the traditional market in Kangjin-eup. This campaign aims to prevent health issues caused by the summer heat and to raise safety awareness among residents. The group held a regular meeting in advance to plan the activities, focusing on distributing water and fans on market days and at the bus terminal while providing guidance on heat response measures and health management tips. Particularly, they are concentrating on promoting hydration and advising vulnerable groups, such as the elderly and traditional market visitors, to avoid outdoor activities during peak heat hours. They are also sharing safety guidelines that can be practiced in daily life. The promotional activities will take place over five sessions, with shifts organized for both morning and afternoon. The initiative aims to foster a spirit of volunteerism while also informing residents about key policies in Kangjin County, such as the Marang Nolto Seafood Market and the Hometown Love Donation Program. The bottled water used in this event was provided through the sponsorship of Namdo Logistics CEO Lim Kwang-soo and the membership fees of the Kangjin County Volunteer Group. The collaboration of private sponsorship and voluntary participation from the group has enhanced the significance of community sharing. On July 29, Yu Dong-sik, who received bottled water at the Kangjin Passenger Terminal, said, "I am a graduate of Chillyang Middle School and stopped by my hometown on my way back to Seoul. Receiving water directly from the county mayor not only cools me down but also makes me feel the warmth of my hometown." Choi Je-young, chair of the Kangjin County Volunteer Group, stated, "As the heat continues, we want to contribute to the health and safety of many residents by distributing water and fans at the terminal and market. We will continue to expand various volunteer activities in collaboration with the community." Kangjin County Mayor Kang Jin-won also participated in the heat prevention campaign by distributing water to residents and tourists at the Kangjin Passenger Terminal. Mayor Kang said, "Each bottle of cool water carries my wish for the health of our residents. I hope you can empty the heat and fill yourselves with coolness. A small act of sharing can be the strength to overcome the heat, and I wish everyone a healthy summer." Meanwhile, the Kangjin County Volunteer Group consists of 23 members from 16 volunteer organizations and continues to engage in various community service activities, including support for vulnerable groups, environmental cleanup, and disaster response.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:00:00 -
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Signals Increased Likelihood of Hikes This Year The U.S. Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, but the call for rate hikes from three members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has increased the likelihood of additional increases this year.Last month, all 12 voting members of the FOMC agreed to maintain the current rate, but this time, three members advocated for a 0.25 percentage point increase. In the Fed's recent interest rate projections, half of the members anticipated at least one rate hike by the end of the year. Analysts suggest that the possibility of rate increases has grown due to rising inflation.On July 29, following a two-day FOMC meeting, the Fed announced it would keep the benchmark interest rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. This marks the fifth consecutive month of holding rates steady, with the decision passing by a vote of 9 to 3.Three dissenting members—Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan—argued against the hold and called for a 0.25 percentage point increase. This is the first time since September 2016 that three members have voted against the FOMC's decision to hold rates.Shift from Caution to Calls for IncreasesA notable change in this meeting is the emergence of voices within the Fed advocating for rate increases, as reflected in the voting.Mester, Kashkari, and Logan had previously voted against policy decisions in April, but at that time, they opposed the language that left open the possibility of rate cuts rather than the hold itself.This time, all three explicitly called for a 0.25 percentage point increase. The internal dialogue within the Fed has shifted from a cautious stance on rate cuts to a stronger call for increases.The possibility of rate hikes this year was also confirmed in the Fed's recent projections. The dot plot from June indicated that among the 18 members who submitted forecasts, nine expected at least one rate hike this year. Eight members anticipated that the current rate would remain unchanged through the end of the year, while only one member projected a rate cut.Of the nine members expecting a hike, six believe that two or more increases are necessary this year.The median forecast for the Fed's year-end interest rate has risen from 3.4% in March to 3.8% in June. During the same period, the projected inflation rate for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased from 2.7% to 3.6%, while the core PCE inflation rate, excluding food and energy, rose from 2.7% to 3.3%.Wash Leaves Door Open for Rate HikesFed Chair Kevin Wash has also not ruled out the possibility of future rate increases.In a press conference, Wash did not specify how rates would be adjusted but stated he would not hesitate to make changes if necessary. He emphasized that it is difficult to conclude that the high inflation, which has persisted for over five years, has been resolved by only a temporary slowdown in prices. He reiterated the Fed's commitment to achieving its inflation target of 2%, suggesting that if inflation remains elevated, rate hikes could be a necessary response.The primary reason the Fed is keeping the door open for rate hikes is that inflation continues to exceed its target significantly.The PCE price index, which the Fed closely monitors, rose 4.1% in May compared to the same month last year. The core PCE price index, excluding food and energy, also increased by 3.4%, surpassing the Fed's 2% target.The U.S. economy and job market have not deteriorated to the extent that would necessitate a rapid reduction in rates. In its statement, the Fed noted that the U.S. economy is expanding at a solid pace and that the job market remains relatively stable.Continued Inflation Slowdown Could Reduce Need for HikesHowever, this meeting did not send a clear signal that an increase is imminent.The recent slowdown in inflation is a factor that could reduce the necessity for rate hikes. The consumer price index (CPI) for June rose 3.5% year-over-year, a significant decrease from May's 4.2%. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, also slowed from 2.9% to 2.6%.If this trend of declining inflation continues, the Fed may find less need to raise rates further.Financial markets did not interpret this meeting as an immediate signal for rate hikes. Prior to the meeting, markets had priced in nearly a 100% chance of a September increase if rates were held steady this time. However, following the policy announcement, the CME FedWatch tool indicated the probability of a September rate hike dropped to about 57%.The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for September 15-16. Economic indicators related to inflation and employment released before that meeting are expected to be key factors in determining whether rate hikes will occur this year.* This article has been translated by AI. 2026-07-30 16:00:00


